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8 Billion and Counting - Now What?

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  Margan and I host a Current Events group here at our retirement community twice a month. This coming one will be mine to prepare and I chose the little noticed event this month that we now have 8 billion fellow humans as neighbors on our spaceship Earth. That is a lot of humans. When graphed out, the population on Earth looks like this over time: I joined the club in 1948 when the estimated global population was 2.5 billion. It was 4 billion when I graduated from medical school and you can see the rise on the graph since then. I am drawn back to my first microbiology course in 1967 (3.5 billion humans then) and the concept of the bacterial growth curve. If one inoculates a test tube containing appropriate nutrients with a bacterium such as E. coli one can calculate a growth curve that looks like this over several days: Initially the bacteria do nothing spectacular as their metabolism accommodates to the conditions in the tube (lag phase). Then they become active and divide as rapid

Books!

  One of the joys of retirement is more time to read books. I always was a bookworm so this is nothing new for me. I still try to keep up with medicine, especially infectious diseases, but the lure of other reading is always there. I wanted to jot down a few recent ones I have read for fun. After the Ivory Tower Falls: How College Broke the American Dream and Blew Up Our Politics—and How to Fix It by Will Bunch was most interesting. Bunch is a Pulitzer Prize winning Philadelphia journalist who explores how we came to believe that the ultimate goal for everyone should be a college diploma. He traces it to the G.I. Bill of 1944 and articulates well how this idea was transmuted over time and became a dividing point in our society. It was interesting to me that Kutztown University occupied one chapter since I began my college education there in the mid-60s. He ends with some interesting ideas about how we can fix this. Universal public service after high school features prominently there.

Democracy Won

The midterms are over, at least so far as casting ballots is concerned. Some races remain undecided as ballot counting proceeds in some western states. So what is the outcome? First and foremost, democracy seems to be the main winner. Despite oceans of ink spilled and airwaves filled with political ads (now radiating out to the universe), Donald Trump once again failed the political party he hijacked. It appears the public, including a healthy swath of independent voters, tired at last of his stolen election schtick. He is too much a narcissist and sociopath to admit that but the cracks in the GOP are widening. In two days he will probably announce he is running for President again in 2024. The announcement is probably as much about his fear that he will be indicted for his myriad crimes while in office; he views being a candidate as some sort of talisman that will prevent the law from seeking accountability. We will see. Second, although there were many election deniers that Trump lin

VOTE!

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  VOTE!!!

A Bad Experience

  Two days ago, Margan and I had a disturbing experience. She saw an ad on Facebook for an RSV vaccine study. RSV is respiratory syncytial virus, and cases in the U.S. are exploding . Along with covid and flu, some are predicting a very bad respiratory season dubbed a “tripledemic” . As a pediatric infectious disease physician, Margan has lots of experience in dealing with severe RSV infection in infants and I am well aware it is also a threat at the other extreme of life. In the mid-1960s a formalin-inactivated RSV was developed but quickly dropped when it became apparent that it enhanced RSV disease rather than protecting from i t.  Researchers have been trying to understand this problem and construct vaccines that truly are protective against RSV disease. Now multiple vaccines are in trials that seem to have overcome the problem of that 1960s-era vaccine. Bavarian Nordic has developed an RSV vaccine that uses its Modified Vaccinia Ankara to deliver 5 RSV antigens and create neutr

No Time To Be Cavalier

  Several weeks ago the California Department of Social Services lifted the masking requirement for residents of residential facilities for the elderly. MonteCedro, our home, is one of those facilities. While masking is still encouraged , it was plain that a majority of our residents promptly shed their masks. After 30 months of required masking, that was no surprise. What is interesting is the response of the non-maskers to those of us who still take the mask precautions seriously. On more than one occasion, other residents have either suggested or plain asked that my wife and I remove our masks, saying “You don’t need to wear them anymore.” My prediction is that those seven words will lead to interesting problems. We have a pretty much fully vaccinated and highly boosted population here. But we also have an active population here that enjoys going to see family and friends on the outside, attends activities outside, shops outside. Family members and friends visit every day. It is not

Too Much News

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  We got home after an almost 2-week road trip to New Mexico, with stops at Santa Fe, Ghost Ranch, Abiquiu, Taos, and Albuquerque. Highlights were seeing Georgia O’Keeffe’s home and studio in Abiquiu and Ghost Ranch, where I grabbed a shot of Kitchen Dome from where she painted it numerous times. It is in this link as My Backyard . New Mexico is an interesting state with great views, indigenous culture, non-Anglo history, and great food. We enjoyed the trip immensely. We did keep up with current events. It was a very, very bad, awful, horrible week for Donald Trump. The January 6 Committee subpoenaed him as well as provided a chronologic recap of his involvement with the attempted coup. Trump will of course continue to lie, obfuscate, and delay but the rebuke from SCOTUS regarding his illegal possession of classified documents (a single sentence sufficed) and AG James’s motion to stop the Trump Organization from moving assets to avoid liability (to the Trump Organization II, a name